New campaign uses humor to explore hindsight culture and why prediction markets reward people who call outcomes before they ...

But the markets specifying invasion are the ones where there's a problem. According to the betting on Polymarket as of Monday, there was only a 6% chance the U.S. would invade Venezuela before Jan. 31 ...

The Edge: Polymarket offers the deepest order books in the industry. With the anticipated launch of the POLY token in 2026, ...

Centralized vs decentralized prediction markets explained: transparency, liquidity, regulation, risks, and real-world use ...

An effort to ban insider trading by officials privy to nonpublic government business using prediction markets has picked up a key endorsement.

It's the battle of the Kevins - Trump's pick for the next Fed Chair, due imminently. And interestingly, according to betting ...

James Smith has the pick of the top charts to watch as we start the new year. Come back on Friday for part two… 1. Will ...

Rep. Ritchie Torres (D-NY) is introducing legislation that would ban government officials and staff from trading contracts on ...

Prediction markets are marketplaces where people trade on the outcomes of future events. Market prices can indicate what the marketplace believes the probability of the event is. For example, “who ...

Prediction markets act as a leading indicator for inflation data, a new report finds. Traders are incorporating Polymarket and Kalshi forecasts into their models. Prediction markets' accuracy is ...