NCAA Tournament officially begins Tuesday and Wednesday with First Four action followed by first- and second-round games on Thursday and Friday as part of a rollercoaster opening week that will see the 68-team field quickly shrink to a Sweet 16 in the span of six days.

What good is an NCAA tournament bracket entry if you can’t pick the winner? Here’s a method for finding a men’s team that might realistically cut down the nets — a method that has correctly identified many recent champions,