Pre All-Star break, SGA averaged 32.5 points, but he’s turned it up to another level post break, dropping 35.4 per tilt. SGA hit the Over on this line in just 33.3 percent of his 54 games played before the break. He’s reached that mark in 54.5% of games played since.

The Pistons rank second in points per game via the fast break, which figures to be a main priority because they will want to generate scoring before the league’s top-ranked defense can set up. That game script does not lend itself to Duren accumulating assists.