National Bureau of Economic Research | NBER
The members of the Conference on Research in Income and Wealth (CRIW) have elected Research Associate Karen Dynan of Harvard University to succeed Katharine Abraham of the University of Maryland as CRIW Chair. Dynan’s research focuses on consumer spending, household finance, and applied macroeconomics. Before moving to Harvard, she served as Assistant Secretary for Economic Policy at the US ...
Business Cycle Dating | NBER
The NBER’s Business Cycle Dating Committee maintains a chronology of US business cycles. The chronology identifies the months of peaks and troughs of economic activity. Expansions are the periods between a trough and a peak; recessions are the periods between a peak and a trough. By convention ...
How the US-China Trade War Affected the Rest of the World
U pendin g a decades-long effort to reduce global trade barriers, China and the United States began mutually escalating tariffs on $450 billion in trade flows in 2018 and 2019. These tariff increases reduced trade between the US and China, but little is known about how trade was affected in the rest of the world. In The US-China Trade War and Global Reallocations (NBER Working Paper 29562 ...
Research | NBER
The NBER conducts and disseminates independent, cutting-edge, non-partisan research that advances economic knowledge and informs policy makers and the business community.
Conferences | NBER
The NBER convenes over 120 meetings each year at which researchers share and discuss their latest findings and launch new projects. The Summer Institute, a collection of nearly 50 smaller meetings, is held annually in July.
Unpacking the Causes of Pandemic-Era Inflation in the US
After several decades of relatively low and stable inflation, in 2021 the US experienced a sharp rise in the pace of price increases. The annual inflation rate, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, was 1.7 percent in February 2021 but rose to more than 5 percent in June 2021.
The Benefits of Rehabilitative Incarceration | NBER
Apr 6, 2020 · Figure 2. In Norway, the average time spent in prison is a little over six months, which is similar to most other Western European countries. This contrasts with average US prison time of almost three years, which is in large part the reason the United States is an outlier in its incarceration rate compared with the rest of the world [Figure 1].
Publications - NBER
2024, 16th Annual Feldstein Lecture, Cecilia E. Rouse," Lessons for Economists from the Pandemic"
Generative AI at Work | NBER
New AI tools have the potential to change the way workers perform and learn, but little is known about their impacts on the job. In this paper, we study the staggered introduction of a generative AI-based conversational assistant using data from 5,179 customer support agents.
The Impact of COVID-19 on Student Experiences and Expectations: Evidence from a Survey Esteban M. Aucejo, Jacob F. French, Maria Paola Ugalde Araya, and Basit Zafar